TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,579,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,560,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,579,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox41c1,018,442$414,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414,211.3438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees59c353,000$208,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,889.9744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees71c281,178$198,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,770.4722852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees59c112,324$66,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,889.6335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Yankees60c75,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0002373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Yankees64c68,800$43,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,063.4911345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees59c55,160$32,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,615.4945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees60c54,331$32,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,989.7248254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox35c54,239$19,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,046.6738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees59c53,136$31,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,785.7623455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yankees59c50,228$29,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,593.4425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Red Sox41c48,734$19,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,980.7817351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox13c35,614$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.9830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox32c35,573$11,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,554.331,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox41c35,111$14,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,395.5160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees59c33,525$19,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,745.121,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox42c30,754$12,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,916.7726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees60c24,779$14,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,941.521,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees59c17,029$10,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,981.691,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yankees59c15,141$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,141.2419649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees60c12,808$7,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.532,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Red Sox7c12,780$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox40c10,059$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.1233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox15c7,983$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.682,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees59c6,700$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7301,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox36c6,551$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.2718748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Red Sox12c6,190$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7969249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Red Sox41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4601533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Yankees70c5,390$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.8313151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees59c5,375$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.5625454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees58c5,000$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Red Sox40c4,655$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8622040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees59c4,444$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82299149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees60c4,311$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.7263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Yankees59c4,161$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.147450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Red Sox0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees59c3,725$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.7880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Yankees60c3,170$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2682360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees60c2,872$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.671,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees59c2,669$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.2973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Red Sox38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95010041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox19c2,231$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.711,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox23c1,943$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Red Sox41c1,792$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6611449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yankees59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees71c1,633$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Red Sox4c1,545$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yankees59c1,475$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.7539456.9%224 W · 170 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yankees65c1,425$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.616,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox30c1,407$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.69,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox40c1,397$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6514949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Red Sox42c1,382$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.589554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Red Sox42c1,342$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.026538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox41c1,275$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees58c1,026$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Sox41c1,020$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Red Sox37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37022047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Yankees60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9941643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Red Sox24c963.3$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.58349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Red Sox13c956.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9123545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox39c899.99$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox2c857.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.185862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yankees60c849.2$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6819742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox5c841$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.891,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees59c800$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.151,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox14c753.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4453448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yankees59c641.47$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees60c568$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.226650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox41c524.39$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Sox41c522.63$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yankees60c517$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yankees61c513.11$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.113060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yankees58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Sox40c499.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Red Sox31c460$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.638741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees77c449.29$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.554,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Red Sox7c445.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1918236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Yankees63c406.35$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.355764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Yankees60c401$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.410057%57 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox40c400.07$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yankees59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox40c399.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.993,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox40c375.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox37c369.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.469745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox40c360$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox42c340.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1512949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ad…2582backed Red Sox6c340$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…4aa4backed Red Sox6c334.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…1808backed Yankees61c328.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4611056.4%62 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yankees61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8721146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Yankees60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12816053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Red Sox41c313.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.547035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox41c307.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.