MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x889349191ace0bbac3f9dac41c4b59f6e89960065fca295f7bf046b7400c984c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Dodgers | 54c | 145,640$78,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,050.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 46c | 74,812$34,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,413.41 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 47c | 46,731$21,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,775.95 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 46c | 30,025$13,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,811.47 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Dodgers | 54c | 26,408$14,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,273.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 54c | 25,222$13,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,602.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 46c | 24,000$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,040 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 46c | 17,500$8,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.92 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 37c | 7,201$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.87 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 46c | 6,069$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 5,442$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.2 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 48c | 3,631$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 33c | 3,124$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 47c | 2,750$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.93 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 48c | 1,639$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.22 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,634$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,056$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 47c | 955.32$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 35c | 901.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 26c | 855.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 46c | 853$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.38 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 2c | 801.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 783.27$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Padres | 45c | 617.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers | 55c | 579.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 4c | 540$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 5c | 508.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Padres | 5c | 430.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 17c | 405.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Padres | 46c | 388.85$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 65c | 388.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 6c | 373.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Padres | 46c | 373$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers | 56c | 357.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 47c | 350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Padres | 48c | 335$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Padres | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 48c | 266.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Padres | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Padres | 48c | 244$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 47c | 212.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 54c | 209.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Padres | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…ddd7backed Dodgers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Padres | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Padres | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 27c | 193.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dodgers | 55c | 189.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Dodgers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 28c | 162.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 49c | 127.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Dodgers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Dodgers | 54c | 115.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Padres | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Padres | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8d…8126backed Dodgers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 68c | 94.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 46c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 47c | 85.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Padres | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Dodgers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Dodgers | 54c | 63.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Padres | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Dodgers | 53c | 59.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Padres | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 48c | 51.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…a187backed Dodgers | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Padres | 49c | 43.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Padres | 35c | 43.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked Padres | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 40.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…8771backed Padres | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Padres | 52c | 38.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d2bcbacked Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 55c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…acb2backed Dodgers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.