MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b47d13a17807c757ac102f5fc7167cb786af7b156b956daccdc5f9f0a651854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 44c | 68,312$30,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,254.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 47c | 40,000$18,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,351.66 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers | 55c | 22,300$12,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,265 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.93 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 51c | 12,296$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Giants | 47c | 9,090$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.9 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 52c | 6,619$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 37c | 5,397$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.2 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 44c | 3,714$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 39c | 3,630$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.63 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 71c | 3,616$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.42 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 51c | 3,584$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.7 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 52c | 3,103$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.15 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 49c | 3,042$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 56c | 3,036$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 52c | 2,999$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.34 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants | 45c | 2,917$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.1 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Brewers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 54c | 2,560$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.64 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…51c8backed Brewers | 56c | 2,443$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,076$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,775$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.16 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 52c | 1,609$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 27c | 1,482$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.66 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Giants | 53c | 1,362$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.34 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Brewers | 42c | 1,330$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Brewers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 49c | 1,158$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.63 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Giants | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 67c | 1,003$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 55c | 958.74$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 17c | 929.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 56c | 922.93$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Brewers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Brewers | 69c | 729.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 73c | 721.81$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.54 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Giants | 36c | 620.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 47c | 593.74$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.23 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 31c | 570.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 56c | 555.11$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 53c | 511.96$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Giants | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Giants | 53c | 485.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 47c | 481.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 45c | 479.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Giants | 47c | 474.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 47c | 456.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Brewers | 71c | 434.92$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Brewers | 73c | 418.02$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 54c | 410$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 51c | 403.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 43c | 400.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Brewers | 55c | 364.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Giants | 57c | 320$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 53c | 282.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 32c | 251.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Giants | 58c | 218.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 37c | 199.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…4197backed Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants | 45c | 186.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Giants | 55c | 185$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Brewers | 57c | 176.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 56c | 170.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Brewers | 52c | 164.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e3acbacked Brewers | 54c | 152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Giants | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Brewers | 75c | 149.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Brewers | 55c | 148$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…0426backed Brewers | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Giants | 46c | 148$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 45c | 145.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 44c | 144.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Brewers | 16c | 137.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Brewers | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Giants | 47c | 124.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 44c | 116.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Giants | 42c | 112.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Giants | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Giants | 53c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Brewers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Giants | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Giants | 47c | 99.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…e90abacked Brewers | 17c | 97.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 65c | 96.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked Brewers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Brewersthis page
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.