MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf705e1614873edd1e73fe6bac23711be4940efe18b49030640920cf33ced83ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Red Sox | 70c | 50,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Marlins | 30c | 49,105$14,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,376.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 70c | 13,295$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310.76 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 32c | 12,500$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.98 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Red Sox | 70c | 9,930$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,951 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 68c | 9,868$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.52 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 30c | 7,196$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.2 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 73c | 5,833$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.58 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Marlins | 30c | 5,010$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.71 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Red Sox | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 30c | 2,736$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 31c | 2,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.71 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 29c | 2,666$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 69c | 2,105$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Marlins | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Marlins | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 71c | 1,750$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Marlins | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 71c | 1,496$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Red Sox | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 66c | 1,405$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 30c | 1,338$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.03 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,093$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Red Sox | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 31c | 967$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Red Sox | 67c | 890$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Red Sox | 58c | 866.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Marlins | 31c | 835.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 31c | 763.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Red Sox | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 30c | 700.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 11c | 669$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.41 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 41c | 661.49$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Marlins | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 9c | 573.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Red Sox | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 31c | 513$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…0e7ebacked Marlins | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 31c | 458.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Red Sox | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 30c | 426$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.11 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 34c | 412$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox | 54c | 348.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 67c | 339.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Marlins | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…9945backed Marlins | 33c | 302.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 37c | 301.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins | 27c | 261.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 69c | 244.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 72c | 235.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Red Sox | 53c | 226.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Marlins | 48c | 210.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 70c | 201.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Marlins | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 31c | 183.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Marlins | 45c | 175.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Red Sox | 71c | 170$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked Red Sox | 68c | 151$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Marlins | 31c | 143.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 37c | 141.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 14c | 136.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Marlins | 29c | 133$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 31c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Red Sox | 70c | 119.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 60c | 111$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Red Sox | 55c | 109.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 31c | 104$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 66c | 103.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Marlins | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins | 11c | 99.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…ab82backed Marlins | 33c | 91.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Marlins | 40c | 85.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Marlins | 61c | 82.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Marlins | 33c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Marlins | 32c | 68.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Marlins | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 17c | 62.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 30c | 52.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.