TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Devils, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Devils52c64,195$33,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,611.5288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks47c54,735$25,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,010.581,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks52c46,563$24,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,261.481,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks47c35,000$16,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,549.9642552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils49c32,693$16,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,010.8221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks46c31,736$14,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,108.9536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Devils53c27,657$14,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,658.2214538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Devils53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,95010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Devils50c13,952$6,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9762147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed4c…a986backed Ducks50c13,952$6,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Devils53c13,900$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,395.3330848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils1c12,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…59d1backed Devils50c12,232$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3002…2a51backed Ducks50c12,232$6,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,116366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Devils53c12,111$6,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,418.8331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6801,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks47c8,995$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.3570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Devils4c5,503$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.714447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Devils40c4,900$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.4828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Ducks49c3,606$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.5710658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Devils53c3,445$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.855646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils53c3,098$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Devils53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Devils5c2,792$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5314344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Ducks47c2,328$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.5916743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c2,314$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.267450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb028…b0dcbacked Devils52c2,106$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.092642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Ducks47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cad…994fbacked Devils53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Devils53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9947051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Ducks47c1,880$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.0183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ec…df7bbacked Devils53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks56c1,458$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils53c1,355$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.371,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks43c1,302$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Devils21c1,298$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4227143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Devils53c1,064$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.381850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Ducks47c1,021$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Devils14c1,001$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14129319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Devils52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…078abacked Ducks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Devils36c971$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.321,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils52c963.37$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Devils53c918.94$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6337847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Devils53c904.51$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Ducks47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Devils53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked Devils53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Ducks45c786.93$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.8113449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Devils53c661.19$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.433360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6f…354bbacked Devils23c599.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks47c525$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.251,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils5c504.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.931,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Ducks48c498.84$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils9c483.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Devils54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24023047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Devils53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Devils53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Devils53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Devils54c366.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19815044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a92…543dbacked Devils55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Devils53c325.92$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7419851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Devils53c325.57$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5516750.9%85 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Ducks80c321.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.361782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Devils54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16275946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks47c290.34$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Ducks46c285.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Devils53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Devils53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Devils7c271.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Ducks47c268.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.095446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf414…cd58backed Ducks47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks60c250$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Ducks47c228$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6129345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Devils53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6623741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Ducks48c221.31$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0812348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Ducks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3948552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Ducks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Ducks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Ducks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10614447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Ducks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Ducks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Devils52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10435349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks75c194.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.851,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Devils53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…3d3ebacked Devils53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Devils54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Ducks47c177.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0248748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Ducks46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0422051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Ducks79c151.06$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1327357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Devils53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522555.1%124 W · 101 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Ducks47c132$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9620249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…594ebacked Ducks80c111.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Ducks46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Ducks47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3857238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Ducks47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3811450.9%58 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f88…e6a5backed Ducks48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Devils24c101.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.458445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.