MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446ee2080911aeac68757515c6cbdcf7c2c3945b79a6c70ba871f94003346124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Padres, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 40c | 260,426$104,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,785.8 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 84,683$50,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,873.33 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 62,684$37,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,073.67 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 62,531$37,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,101.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 54,952$35,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,452.54 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 15,042$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 11,949$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 39c | 9,074$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.56 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 7,777$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.12 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 6,862$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 72c | 6,707$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 40c | 4,675$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.93 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,953$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 47c | 2,789$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 41c | 2,672$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 30c | 2,584$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 52c | 2,323$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.41 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 40c | 2,228$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Padres | 40c | 1,942$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 41c | 1,902$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 40c | 1,854$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 40c | 1,669$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.48 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Padres | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Padres | 29c | 1,420$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.46 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Padres | 40c | 1,307$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.6 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 34c | 1,305$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 43c | 1,109$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Padres | 41c | 1,049$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 999$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.98 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Padres | 40c | 937$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 20c | 900$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 39c | 864.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 805.12$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 29c | 775.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Padres | 22c | 573.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Padres | 21c | 562.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 530.66$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.57 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 19c | 492.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 454.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 410$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 397$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 41c | 344.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 313$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 39c | 305$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 59c | 261.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 246.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 231.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 22c | 223.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 215.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Padres | 40c | 210.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 160$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Padres | 78c | 156.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 145$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 141.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Padres | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 132.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Padres | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e74cbacked Padres | 19c | 111.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 104.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Padres | 53c | 101.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…eb38backed Padres | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Padres | 59c | 93.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 85.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…5ac2backed Padres | 39c | 83.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 41c | 81.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 81.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 36c | 76.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.