CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21b9c8f6bd4beac825378459a65c74ddf3a6670184b9463e4257c6778a60783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof MOUZ NXT, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 660.44$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…1aa6backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 561.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 40c | 461$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 439.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 40c | 439.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 424.32$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 376.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed SPARTA | 45c | 367.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed SPARTA | 34c | 360.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 353.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b4…18d6backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 324.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed SPARTA | 38c | 304.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 252.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked SPARTA | 43c | 213.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed SPARTA | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 198.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 47c | 198.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 196.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed SPARTA | 35c | 195.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked SPARTA | 47c | 184.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 183.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked SPARTA | 31c | 174$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SPARTA | 30c | 162.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 141.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 134.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed SPARTA | 53c | 129.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked SPARTA | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed SPARTA | 36c | 107.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 77c | 107.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked SPARTA | 43c | 100.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MOUZ NXT | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked MOUZ NXT | 13c | 99.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed SPARTA | 36c | 98.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 95.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 94.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 86.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 155 | 61.3%95 W · 60 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed SPARTA | 34c | 85.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 75.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 72.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked SPARTA | 58c | 65.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 65.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…df1bbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 65.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked SPARTA | 39c | 61.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed SPARTA | 45c | 61.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed SPARTA | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed SPARTA | 34c | 49.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed SPARTA | 22c | 48.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SPARTA | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked SPARTA | 70c | 43.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked MOUZ NXT | 66c | 33.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked SPARTA | 76c | 31.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 30.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed SPARTA | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked SPARTA | 54c | 24.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked SPARTA | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.