CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2fb0a246e3abcb8b800102a3369f8253bab22982094eb14f2379323debd97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof ASTRAL, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 79c | 4,600$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked ASTRAL | 20c | 3,628$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.68 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Bebop | 70c | 3,100$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.49 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL | 33c | 1,850$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Bebop | 69c | 1,563$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed ASTRAL | 34c | 1,540$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.66 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked ASTRAL | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 75c | 1,246$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ASTRAL | 32c | 944.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 923.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 66c | 904.03$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Bebop | 67c | 834.33$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ASTRAL | 23c | 788.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed ASTRAL | 23c | 781.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ASTRAL | 23c | 728$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ASTRAL | 20c | 726.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ASTRAL | 24c | 715$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed ASTRAL | 18c | 710.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ASTRAL | 13c | 535$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 80c | 477.41$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ASTRAL | 14c | 431.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Bebop | 66c | 417.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed ASTRAL | 30c | 364$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 362.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Bebop | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Bebop | 63c | 302.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ASTRAL | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 13c | 291.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASTRAL | 31c | 287.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bebop | 65c | 275.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 78c | 266.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Bebop | 65c | 237.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bebop | 67c | 224.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ASTRAL | 24c | 205$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ASTRAL | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASTRAL | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ASTRAL | 30c | 182.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 77c | 165.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ASTRAL | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bebop | 68c | 106.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked ASTRAL | 24c | 105.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed ASTRAL | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Bebop | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 90.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed ASTRAL | 25c | 89.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 87.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked ASTRAL | 33c | 82.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…59dfbacked Bebop | 68c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bebop | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Bebop | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bebop | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed ASTRAL | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ASTRAL | 36c | 60.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed ASTRAL | 36c | 58.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ASTRAL | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d51…7045backed ASTRAL | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed ASTRAL | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked ASTRAL | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Bebop | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Bebop | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bebop | 75c | 36.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bebop | 70c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Bebop | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Bebop | 63c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Bebop | 77c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…c894backed Bebop | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 44 | 81.8%36 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.