CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58734dd7a233773cee4ff81a5b057dc7a545ca63ff2d61bd59767d300ff26a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof 1WIN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked 1WIN | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Nemiga | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1WIN | 28c | 1,797$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.49 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked 1WIN | 18c | 1,767$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.06 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1WIN | 12c | 1,119$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 41c | 952.05$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga | 66c | 880.9$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.82 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1WIN | 45c | 812.18$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga | 75c | 768.6$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed 1WIN | 49c | 687.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Nemiga | 69c | 664.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed 1WIN | 27c | 644$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 22c | 631.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1WIN | 27c | 462$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Nemiga | 53c | 375.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 1WIN | 43c | 348.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 30c | 324.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1WIN | 41c | 292.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN | 20c | 283.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 1WIN | 36c | 267.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked 1WIN | 38c | 266.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 1WIN | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked 1WIN | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 77c | 228.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…e2fabacked Nemiga | 76c | 185$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 26c | 176.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 1WIN | 30c | 162$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 1WIN | 28c | 160.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 1WIN | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed 1WIN | 46c | 153.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed 1WIN | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1WIN | 20c | 141.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1WIN | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 1WIN | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 1WIN | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed 1WIN | 36c | 120.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked 1WIN | 36c | 118.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 1WIN | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Nemiga | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed 1WIN | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1WIN | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked 1WIN | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed 1WIN | 20c | 87.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN | 45c | 65.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed 1WIN | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed 1WIN | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed 1WIN | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed 1WIN | 27c | 40.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 1WIN | 28c | 39.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Nemiga | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed Nemiga | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 78c | 24.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Nemiga | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.