CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b8f8d67d03749edbe6adcbc3d1286247a6989c2499de8330775047ef7f7881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof 1WIN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga | 55c | 4,076$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.71 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 37c | 1,976$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 40c | 1,704$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.93 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 60c | 1,291$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga | 46c | 1,157$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.36 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 1WIN | 57c | 796.38$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.43 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga | 58c | 697.38$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 35c | 647.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed 1WIN | 62c | 553$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 64c | 305$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1WIN | 40c | 277.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 55c | 257.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed 1WIN | 38c | 228.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga | 73c | 211.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1WIN | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…e2fabacked Nemiga | 73c | 192.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed 1WIN | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 58c | 128.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed 1WIN | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nemiga | 45c | 108.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 1WIN | 68c | 104.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1WIN | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Nemiga | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 42c | 89.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed 1WIN | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Nemiga | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nemiga | 36c | 64.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1WIN | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN | 37c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 60c | 48.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1WIN | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed 1WIN | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 1WIN | 37c | 35.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 1WIN | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nemiga | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.