Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6f6acb887c2ed840ade5d631941328fc3c37e59a50e522266df6073c0680be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof Team Secret, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Team Secret | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.95 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed VARREL | 51c | 13,547$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked VARREL | 51c | 3,733$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.17 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed VARREL | 51c | 2,698$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Secret | 27c | 2,553$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.93 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed VARREL | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Team Secret | 51c | 1,692$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.99 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…4891backed VARREL | 62c | 1,481$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed VARREL | 50c | 1,262$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.24 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed VARREL | 51c | 1,261$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VARREL | 58c | 1,229$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Team Secret | 37c | 1,179$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret | 37c | 1,014$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Secret | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 69c | 944.44$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.32 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Secret | 48c | 916$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed VARREL | 51c | 890.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked VARREL | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Secret | 49c | 858.68$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Secret | 28c | 717.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked VARREL | 50c | 685.9$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.95 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret | 50c | 659.07$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed VARREL | 46c | 623.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.22 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked VARREL | 52c | 610.54$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked VARREL | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Secret | 51c | 594.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed VARREL | 55c | 545.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked VARREL | 71c | 517.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Secret | 43c | 508.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked VARREL | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Secret | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Secret | 38c | 496.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed VARREL | 54c | 465.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Team Secret | 65c | 460.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed VARREL | 51c | 446.86$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked VARREL | 56c | 438.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked VARREL | 52c | 420.12$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed VARREL | 74c | 407.57$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked VARREL | 50c | 399.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed VARREL | 51c | 396$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Secret | 32c | 395.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed VARREL | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed VARREL | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked VARREL | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret | 45c | 379.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Team Secret | 49c | 355.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Team Secret | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Secret | 33c | 304.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked VARREL | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VARREL | 64c | 298.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed VARREL | 51c | 272.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret | 47c | 265.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed VARREL | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed VARREL | 69c | 262$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed Team Secret | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed VARREL | 51c | 239.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked VARREL | 52c | 235.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL | 49c | 228$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked VARREL | 80c | 215.45$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret | 49c | 209.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed VARREL | 51c | 207.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked VARREL | 51c | 207.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Secret | 30c | 207$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed VARREL | 75c | 206$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Secret | 47c | 205.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed VARREL | 56c | 205.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked VARREL | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed VARREL | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed VARREL | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VARREL | 57c | 191.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked VARREL | 68c | 191$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Team Secret | 50c | 181.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret | 39c | 180.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VARREL | 52c | 175.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked VARREL | 56c | 174.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked VARREL | 55c | 172.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Secret | 31c | 164$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed VARREL | 76c | 160.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Secret | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VARREL | 50c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked VARREL | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Secret | 30c | 151$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed VARREL | 72c | 149.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed VARREL | 72c | 149$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked VARREL | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Team Secret | 43c | 139.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked VARREL | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…8244backed VARREL | 34c | 134.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked VARREL | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed VARREL | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed VARREL | 72c | 123.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed VARREL | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked VARREL | 46c | 120.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked VARREL | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed VARREL | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked VARREL | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed VARREL | 32c | 112.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked VARREL | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked VARREL | 51c | 101$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegathis page
- Map Handicap: VARREL (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Team Secret won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerVARREL won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerTeam Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.