TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Monday

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Johannus Monday
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Johannus Monday23c169,740$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00017837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Shintaro Mochizuki77c140,467$107,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,505.771,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki79c12,444$9,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.249645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Johannus Monday30c9,507$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.482,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Johannus Monday19c8,404$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Shintaro Mochizuki77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.6116344.8%73 W · 90 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki66c5,871$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.262356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Shintaro Mochizuki78c5,747$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.5512467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki65c5,117$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.054,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki74c3,994$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Johannus Monday24c3,867$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92871729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Johannus Monday25c2,120$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5369232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Johannus Monday9c1,954$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4532329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki79c1,894$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1736548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…8162backed Johannus Monday42c1,686$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Johannus Monday35c1,414$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.974,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Shintaro Mochizuki72c1,403$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.492,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Johannus Monday38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Shintaro Mochizuki71c1,307$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.184,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki72c1,240$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.23,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Johannus Monday28c1,225$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.231,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Johannus Monday35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42067144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Johannus Monday39c1,189$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.74,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Shintaro Mochizuki77c1,169$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.467851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Shintaro Mochizuki77c1,002$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5611646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Johannus Monday32c944.07$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8225144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Shintaro Mochizuki63c933.97$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.231,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Shintaro Mochizuki62c887.09$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.091,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2510…7a97backed Johannus Monday41c772.74$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.447622.4%17 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Johannus Monday46c761.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Johannus Monday36c707.06$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5448842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Johannus Monday24c693.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6717543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Shintaro Mochizuki66c687.4$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8425448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Johannus Monday37c669.11$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6918542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Shintaro Mochizuki64c650$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23430339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Johannus Monday36c599.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.387,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Shintaro Mochizuki70c575.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7131146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20034555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Johannus Monday42c478.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki76c475.3$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.356,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki73c466.38$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.791,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki63c460$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.22,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki72c450$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.516451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Johannus Monday40c434.63$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki59c431.58$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9962457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Johannus Monday42c413.71$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7643347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki75c410.91$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7344751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Johannus Monday23c402.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.861,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5053…913ebacked Johannus Monday33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Johannus Monday26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Johannus Monday38c368.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14060342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki80c365$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Johannus Monday42c353.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.57546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Johannus Monday37c351.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9644442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…4750backed Johannus Monday29c351$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…3137backed Shintaro Mochizuki74c350.59$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki62c337.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.191,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Johannus Monday36c331.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4743743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Johannus Monday24c328.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.591,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c328.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.961,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki75c312$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Johannus Monday41c310.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7118543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Johannus Monday29c305.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.011,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Johannus Monday36c304.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.951,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Johannus Monday31c304.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7439648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Johannus Monday13c290$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.733855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki71c279$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.721,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Shintaro Mochizuki62c260$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Johannus Monday21c250.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.595,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.548941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Johannus Monday42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Shintaro Mochizuki70c228.7$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6582958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Johannus Monday25c228.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.391,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Johannus Monday22c220.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.756,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Johannus Monday18c218$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.476,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Johannus Monday35c217.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.33,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Johannus Monday41c203.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.642,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki74c201.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.025,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Johannus Monday20c200.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Shintaro Mochizuki67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Johannus Monday23c196.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.392,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked Johannus Monday34c189.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Shintaro Mochizuki58c185.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9538066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…99c4backed Johannus Monday24c185.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf738…cbdfbacked Johannus Monday24c165.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Shintaro Mochizuki64c156.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3327949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2546440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Johannus Monday17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.515545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b92…4f18backed Shintaro Mochizuki68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062875%21 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Shintaro Mochizuki68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064143.9%18 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki61c146.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.011,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Shintaro Mochizuki73c144.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.881,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki70c141.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5517972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Johannus Monday7c140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Johannus Monday37c139.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Shintaro Mochizuki75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3339469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Shintaro Mochizuki69c130.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6112748.8%62 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.