CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75473aaacd194e2cd1c3d33dc965b012e04544a869dd63cb45144a27e35f692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Black Phoenix, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 3,082$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.72 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 2,238$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.73 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 1,550$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.82 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 909.63$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 858.12$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 785.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 689.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 604.91$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 596.65$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 498.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 479$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 459.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 399.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 327.55$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 277$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 275.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 268$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 252.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 252.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 224.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 205.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 197.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 184$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 156.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 155.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 144.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Black Phoenix | 16c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c914backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 108.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 100.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Black Phoenix | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 94.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 23c | 81.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 55.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 48.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Black Phoenix | 23c | 46.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 29.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…1403backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.