CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7bb3cb9fc90802aa4896ff9c9d645a0a69e6f7921333f6a754851f93ebb413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 4,069$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.4 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 2,499$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 1,695$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 750$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 704.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 686.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Black Phoenix | 73c | 668.75$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 663.74$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 560.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 508.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.93 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 501.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 453$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 265.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 214.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 205.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Black Phoenix | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 195.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 184.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 180.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 177.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 176.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 129.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 80.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 79.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 78.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Black Phoenix | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 42.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 38.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.