TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dandelionsof Dandelions, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe700…dc26backed Zero Tenacity3c4,500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions68c4,077$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.8271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Zero Tenacity50c1,923$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2314646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e4…bd22backed Dandelions74c1,730$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.13167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Dandelions25c1,474$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.8169835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity75c1,215$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.2815050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef4…f1a8backed Dandelions77c840.64$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Zero Tenacity32c827.16$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3110933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity2c781.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity21c759.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.254246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Zero Tenacity79c722.73$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7335737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Zero Tenacity15c601.66$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4413336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Zero Tenacity33c579.77$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4213943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Dandelions72c568.25$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1186659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Zero Tenacity35c480.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.673046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14232756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Zero Tenacity29c399.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Zero Tenacity45c390$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.167830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dandelions58c383.6$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.261,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity44c382.78$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5550353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Zero Tenacity35c368.52$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8330146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd9…e02cbacked Dandelions80c351$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed Dandelions43c348.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.398960.7%54 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Zero Tenacity20c345.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1221558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Dandelions54c325.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.935352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Dandelions11c299.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.994447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Dandelions72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7810651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Zero Tenacity72c263.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4737745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Zero Tenacity43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dandelions22c232$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6826343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x891a…f778backed Dandelions49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Dandelions40c203.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.815940.9%65 W · 94 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Zero Tenacity51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Zero Tenacity59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11724942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…e588backed Dandelions75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Dandelions74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.71,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Dandelions48c196.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6719547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dandelions72c190.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dandelions62c179.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.421,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity18c160.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9178516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Zero Tenacity7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Dandelions21c135.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.393525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Dandelions19c120$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.624734%16 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Zero Tenacity51c116$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1622562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Dandelions78c103$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Zero Tenacity51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Zero Tenacity11c96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5659254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Zero Tenacity19c95.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.853844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked Zero Tenacity56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.382060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed Zero Tenacity34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Zero Tenacity51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Dandelions22c79.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8443738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Zero Tenacity51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Zero Tenacity51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404025%10 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Zero Tenacity15c76.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.426147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Zero Tenacity54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.854659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity58c69.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc59…1b00backed Dandelions29c68.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.072544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Dandelions21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.42055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Zero Tenacity79c55.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.121850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.568345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Zero Tenacity70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511169.4%77 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Dandelions60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.678055%44 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60d…80e9backed Dandelions29c44.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity45c41.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4581345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Zero Tenacity49c40.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec5…465abacked Dandelions50c40.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.343745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity31c40.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6366545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Dandelions25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dandelions79c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8742146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Dandelions68c35.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed Dandelions29c35.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.172857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Dandelions74c31.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1717249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Zero Tenacity78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.466848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Zero Tenacity37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2911…922ebacked Dandelions77c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.283756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Zero Tenacity77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zero Tenacity74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.538142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb50…c314backed Dandelions72c20.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity75c19.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.