CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfc8000b4ffcce471bd86f8bb349429925ff8beac6505f5188244bdbfe7c26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28b6…c9a8backed Metizport | 49c | 3,350$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 2,595$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Metizport | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.14 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0e…ea7bbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 778.39$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 538.39$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 520$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Metizport | 45c | 443.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Metizport | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 50c | 381.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Metizport | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 301.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Metizport | 42c | 288.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Metizport | 51c | 222.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 207.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Metizport | 52c | 206.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 205.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Metizport | 50c | 191.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Metizport | 50c | 183.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 133.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 132.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed Metizport | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 129.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 124.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Metizport | 38c | 122.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 100.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Metizport | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 96.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 50.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 46.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 44.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Metizport | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Metizport | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 30.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 26.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 22.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group DMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.