CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438740d3bc3ec66ae2af54b0f3f03aee85e40cfb86c2448e4bee0e28435a13d2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Metizportof Metizport, Johnny Speeds
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Metizport	77c	4,398$3,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.16	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Johnny Speeds	29c	3,249$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.82	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Metizport	77c	2,600$2,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598	190	57.9%110 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds	29c	2,260$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.58	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Metizport	55c	1,733$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.05	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Metizport	65c	1,280$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.89	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2de1…e01bbacked Johnny Speeds	4c	662.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Johnny Speeds	20c	593.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.55	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds	30c	589.04$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.56	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport	60c	514.51$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.8	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Johnny Speeds	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	512	52.3%268 W · 244 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds	30c	408.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.24	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Johnny Speeds	33c	385.82$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.02	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Johnny Speeds	30c	383$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Metizport	59c	347.22$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.66	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds	19c	346.98$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed Metizport	57c	252.62$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.62	141	39.7%56 W · 85 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Johnny Speeds	10c	244$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Johnny Speeds	33c	231.49$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.39	550	39.6%218 W · 332 L	-20.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Metizport	54c	216.97$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.01	185	49.2%91 W · 94 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Metizport	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Metizport	54c	185.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.05	114	60.5%69 W · 45 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Johnny Speeds	35c	167.27$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.13	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Metizport	70c	162.11$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.54	519	42.2%219 W · 300 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Metizport	67c	149.48$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.48	211	59.7%126 W · 85 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Johnny Speeds	39c	144.38$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Metizport	70c	137.23$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Johnny Speeds	44c	135$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.75	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds	36c	129.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.11	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Johnny Speeds	24c	127.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds	37c	125$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.86	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…b067backed Metizport	48c	118.75$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Johnny Speeds	30c	116.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.87	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Metizport	48c	114.14$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.62	190	35.8%68 W · 122 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Johnny Speeds	47c	106.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	139	60.4%84 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Metizport	80c	103.48$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Johnny Speeds	39c	101.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.94	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Johnny Speeds	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Metizport	66c	99.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	932	61.7%575 W · 357 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Metizport	57c	95$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.15	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Johnny Speeds	46c	92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.74	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Johnny Speeds	46c	92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.74	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Metizport	76c	87.75$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.63	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Johnny Speeds	60c	83.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Metizport	64c	77.01$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.04	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Metizport	62c	75.63$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.38	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Johnny Speeds	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Johnny Speeds	30c	64.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	263	46.4%122 W · 141 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Metizport	67c	63$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.01	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds	35c	62.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Johnny Speeds	43c	58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Metizport	60c	55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.1	231	56.3%130 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Johnny Speeds	59c	50.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	323	61.6%199 W · 124 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Johnny Speeds	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	655	48.9%320 W · 335 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Metizport	65c	49.33$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Johnny Speeds	25c	48.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	675	47.3%319 W · 356 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Johnny Speeds	21c	47.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Johnny Speeds	38c	47.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cd…aca5backed Johnny Speeds	44c	44.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-7.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Metizport	73c	43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	228	37.3%85 W · 143 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Johnny Speeds	31c	43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Metizport	65c	40.61$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	610	54.9%335 W · 275 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds	39c	34.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Metizport	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	90	60%54 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Johnny Speeds	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	412	50.2%207 W · 205 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Johnny Speeds	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Metizport	54c	29.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	609	54%329 W · 280 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Metizport	72c	29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Metizport	73c	28.85$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	316	73.7%233 W · 83 L	+23.6wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Metizport	77c	28.31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.53	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6e4…0720backed Metizport	62c	22.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	30cpaid	+82.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Metizport	72c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.16	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…d118backed Metizport	66c	20.58$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	44	86.4%38 W · 6 L	+7.4wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde47…cb61backed Metizport	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	72cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Metizport	58c	18.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.88	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Metizport	61c	16.66$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe188…c1d0backed Metizport	68c	15.36$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.86	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+3.3wins	+0.23per pick	62cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group DMetizport won
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)Metizport won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event