WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44bdcce15a35bff033e648a8fa5fbbd025a1cc7c429f0f6c57d6a2aa0341a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 6,804$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.03 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 52c | 2,911$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.09 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 9c | 2,193$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 1,850$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.71 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 1,716$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.76 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 51c | 1,706$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.06 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,141$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 65c | 724.67$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 653.68$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 10c | 483.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 461.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 61c | 424.66$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Over | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 34c | 370.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Under | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 51c | 291$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 245.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 184.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 150.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 7c | 139.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 16c | 134.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 12c | 121.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 111.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 22c | 108.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 98.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 65c | 81.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Under | 61c | 81.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 51c | 78.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 26c | 63.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 76c | 48.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9a91backed Under | 50c | 37.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 35.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 67c | 33.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Under | 77c | 27.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 51c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 65c | 23.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 51c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 53c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…86edbacked Under | 73c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.