WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6255431b8675461ad20326cce3d141649e7a04aad9b3ce6acd821e6cd788f15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Los Angeles Sparks, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 11,946$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.25 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,753$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.84 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 1,982$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.64 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,782$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.85 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,653$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.8 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,282$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.47 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 754.01$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 518.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 471.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Seattle Storm | 68c | 346.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 289.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 38c | 284.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 231.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…7e93backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 122.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 122.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 101.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…8734backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 33.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 29.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 27.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.