WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7d4b4177aeb3b116b252d31c404b1729e3c2ed388e2183e94688efe41b6d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Los Angeles Sparks, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 29,323$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,323.03 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 10,434$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 5,472$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 3,590$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 2,854$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.12 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 2,560$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,839$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.94 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,144$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 918.92$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 784.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 771.95$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 644.69$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 487.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Seattle Storm | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 238.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 145.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 131.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 107.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 96.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 88.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Storm | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 41.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…1df6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.