WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76cf6cfcec9ada82c146036db29eb9d66760c6fcf1e03a1eebcb1d94b1e90664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 5,406$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.81 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,030$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.99 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 1,642$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,621$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,197$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.69 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 48c | 603.77$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 54c | 500.76$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 189.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 169.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 47c | 144.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 21c | 106.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 48c | 101.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 58c | 63.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 62.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…4cf1backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 52c | 44.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Over | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 34.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 61c | 34.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Over | 68c | 21.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.