WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef71342ff339c433c94adb13c365815b771392fc28c29d69242694aceedd6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Los Angeles Sparks, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 4,611$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.38 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 1,897$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.53 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 1,146$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.45 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 1,018$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.76 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 933.54$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.67 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 728.68$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Los Angeles Sparks | 67c | 600.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 574.34$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 519.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.73 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 419.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 336.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 229.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 199.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 187.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 174.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 147$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 87.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 85.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks | 15c | 81.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 80.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 46.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 37.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 37.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…95d1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 37.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 67c | 34.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 29.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Los Angeles Sparks | 69c | 25.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.