TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under47c286,295$134,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,85520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over53c120,000$63,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,60038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over53c61,170$32,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,420.2926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over53c32,500$17,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under47c20,612$9,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,924.258657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60011052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c11,037$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,891.352,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over53c10,845$5,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,796.051,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c9,940$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1004…f7f1backed Over54c3,600$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over53c3,273$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.5917057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c3,206$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under47c3,190$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.6826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over53c3,155$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.3822150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc2b…0a52backed Over55c3,100$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32512947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda1…6253backed Under45c1,900$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0451070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c1,700$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.391,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over53c1,380$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.421048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c1,316$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.481,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d8…0649backed Under45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c1,189$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over53c1,064$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over54c824$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c788.49$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c722.22$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c689$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8386852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under46c467.12$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over53c375.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1995560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over53c371.1$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6828251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under45c334.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2447051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c304.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde71…01d9backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe605…ebabbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under47c158.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.275046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over54c107.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8616447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Under47c102.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c101.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.872,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over53c99.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0926243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under48c98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9613557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over54c92.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.863953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over52c74.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over53c73.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.191,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Over54c73.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa31…5cc1backed Over54c73.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over53c71.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7910059%59 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over53c50.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.863655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under48c46.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0716463.4%104 W · 60 L+18.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under47c45.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3219356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over53c45.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.919652.6%103 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over53c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3215447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under48c40.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.115257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Over56c39.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Under48c37.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.841275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Over53c31.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over53c31.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.547146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Under48c31.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Under48c28.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+61.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over53c28.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158950.6%45 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Over53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7813142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under48c22.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.919458.5%55 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.