NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa804bc4a04c8ef5a5bf7e949af96606f9f74f862cdd29365112181eb2fee3a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Jets, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xced2…be00backed Jets | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…1bf5backed Jets | 31c | 1,020$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…11c9backed Panthers | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Panthers | 73c | 420.44$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…6e04backed Panthers | 69c | 410$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…7b07backed Panthers | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a6…e158backed Panthers | 69c | 340$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers | 70c | 309.49$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 27c | 299.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…f7cfbacked Panthers | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…f873backed Panthers | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jets | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Jets | 28c | 199.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 70c | 131.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Panthers | 70c | 129.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Jets | 30c | 129.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Jets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jets | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Panthers | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Panthers | 70c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. JetsPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.