Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996141be7d04dd7708aa2c8363b83eb21b46d01d4eb7e4b99f7d04b28d819fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,007,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,007,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 547,619$304,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,903.38 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 361,600$161,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,390.66 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 56c | 252,666$141,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,573.06 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 55c | 187,827$103,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,522.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 44c | 101,733$44,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,994.41 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 67,500$29,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,950 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 43c | 49,940$21,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,674 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 30,162$13,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,575.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 45c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 45c | 15,554$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,921.53 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 8,161$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 54c | 2,248$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.23 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 46c | 2,035$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.74 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 1,434$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 1,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 57c | 922.04$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 741.91$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.01 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 46c | 457.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 45c | 351.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 48c | 200.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 40c | 166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 155.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Under | 18c | 71.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 46c | 70.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 45c | 60.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 53.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 46c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…7d62backed Under | 47c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 25.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…5d99backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 134.5this page
- Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming EaglesSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.