Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee23799ea8e6f71ccb25933e21d0e912aae038c8368bb6d1d422b7e58c0de381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $739,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 679,057$328,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350,434.07 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 111,697$58,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,082.5 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 89,964$46,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,379.48 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 65,209$33,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,256.63 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 43,976$21,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,659.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 32,500$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 20,000$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 5,227$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 1,831$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.04 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 1,335$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 1,322$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.61 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 1,030$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 705.62$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 682.96$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.14 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 406.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 396.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 287.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 270.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 198.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 176.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 136.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 124.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 87.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…e4f0backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 82.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed San Jose State Spartans | 42c | 78.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 76.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 67.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 66.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 63.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 54.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…9439backed San Jose State Spartans | 53c | 45.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)this page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 141.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-18.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.