Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hampton Pirates (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afa3d22f0ee9daadcb97aed808188070674177e004291d43cf5f31a665ea7f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampton Piratesof Hampton Pirates, North Carolina A&T Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hampton Pirates | 55c | 577,288$317,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259,810.71 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 400,000$180,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,000 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 28,380$12,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,770.87 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hampton Pirates | 55c | 11,976$6,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.76 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 3,923$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 1,846$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 29c | 895.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 407.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 16c | 249.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 41c | 235.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 5c | 200.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hampton Pirates | 53c | 129.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18e…8ec3backed Hampton Pirates | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 37c | 45.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Hampton Pirates | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 46c | 35.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 45c | 33.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 46c | 32.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 48c | 31.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hampton Pirates (-5.5)this page
- North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Hampton PiratesHampton Pirates won
- North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.