Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a065caf12390d6b5f6ea313d6bc710e11e37ebdaef5c58b8c62ede2b4c3a27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Marquette Golden Eagles, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 21,003$11,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,388.86 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 6,150$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Providence Friars | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Providence Friars | 50c | 3,943$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 3,131$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Providence Friars | 45c | 3,019$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.23 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 2,238$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.52 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 1,842$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 1,772$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 59c | 731.07$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 548.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 436.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Providence Friars | 79c | 426.88$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Providence Friars | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 22c | 212$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Providence Friars | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Providence Friars | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 42c | 199.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 185.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Providence Friars | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 71.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Providence Friars | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Providence Friars | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Providence Friars | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Providence Friars | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Providence Friars | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 44.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Providence Friars | 68c | 41.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Providence Friars | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Providence Friars | 51c | 31.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 22.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…c180backed Providence Friars | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)this page
- Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden EaglesMarquette Golden Eagles won
- Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 165.5Over won
- Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 166.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.