TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under48c104,415$50,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,133.1517031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over52c99,979$51,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,990.0951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over53c28,224$14,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,265.2821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c18,549$8,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,713.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under47c10,064$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.8659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c6,049$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.033,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…700bbacked Over52c4,399$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061d…e59cbacked Over52c4,202$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c4,137$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.611,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd32…4a85backed Over52c3,902$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…4496backed Under48c3,874$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28d8…45debacked Under48c3,162$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41fa…def7backed Over52c3,158$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232d…2b9abacked Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…301dbacked Over52c3,123$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9528…711abacked Under48c3,123$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe213…cccfbacked Under48c3,071$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…1ba5backed Under48c2,996$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75b3…a9b6backed Under48c2,986$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d28…17ffbacked Under48c2,974$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaf…fb98backed Under48c2,878$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6890…adcabacked Under48c2,864$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe2…550bbacked Under48c2,749$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf159…2842backed Under48c2,747$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadca…b3b3backed Under48c2,673$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x464c…0366backed Under48c2,665$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…c456backed Under48c2,662$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779f…f70ebacked Under48c2,626$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd46…01a6backed Over52c2,620$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…3195backed Over52c2,605$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9a…078abacked Under48c2,589$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…39d3backed Under48c2,586$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd95e…be71backed Under48c2,585$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbce…57e6backed Under48c2,585$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa966…bd11backed Over52c2,574$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d97…3795backed Under48c2,574$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff53…785cbacked Over52c2,574$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c2,565$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65d…cd83backed Over52c2,563$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd936…361cbacked Over52c2,563$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54a…f62dbacked Over52c2,563$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…c0bebacked Under48c2,555$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd3…ba0fbacked Under48c2,553$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4324…2f35backed Over52c2,553$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…b208backed Under48c2,547$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033c…1bcabacked Over52c2,544$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8089…e57bbacked Over52c2,544$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…bd10backed Under48c2,544$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4604…aaa7backed Under48c2,543$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ad…c945backed Over52c2,541$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…ad01backed Under48c2,541$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…eca5backed Over52c2,541$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e25…944dbacked Under48c2,539$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb6…f864backed Over52c2,538$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8896…81bdbacked Over52c2,536$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7080…0867backed Over52c2,536$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f06…0f5ebacked Over52c2,534$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964c…4745backed Under48c2,533$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8f…2343backed Over52c2,531$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…2099backed Under48c2,514$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1f…cabdbacked Under48c2,493$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c9…abf9backed Under48c2,477$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x966c…b835backed Over52c2,403$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d5…95a3backed Under48c2,378$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ff…e78abacked Over52c2,323$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd96…12f4backed Over52c2,244$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc131…afd8backed Over52c2,211$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f53…a5bebacked Under48c2,063$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ee…6e3dbacked Under48c2,052$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf072…da7ebacked Under48c2,044$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e2…90d8backed Under48c2,041$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…296ebacked Under48c2,035$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…8998backed Over52c2,012$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9abe…10f9backed Over52c2,012$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c4…db56backed Over52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df7…6079backed Over52c1,727$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0c…d5e5backed Over52c1,551$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…4a0cbacked Over52c1,520$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x816e…a8dcbacked Over52c1,515$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43d…947cbacked Over52c1,499$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x509e…554dbacked Over52c1,414$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7a…ea4bbacked Over52c1,412$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac8…7089backed Over52c1,364$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.727100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f3…f8b2backed Over52c1,331$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a0…6875backed Over52c1,313$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59cf…ba86backed Over52c1,285$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd811…fa23backed Under48c1,270$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…618ebacked Over52c1,255$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba18…1ecdbacked Over52c1,224$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f3…5280backed Over52c1,214$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…4c31backed Over52c1,187$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…3b90backed Under48c1,162$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa947…0785backed Over52c1,122$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea7f…e384backed Under48c1,104$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf985…3111backed Under48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.