NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc133828ac697880884e6585f76bae618e155c8dbb489bdf3c9885e6d64c94b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 51c | 21,504$10,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,550.4 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 20,160$10,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 17,144$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,772$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 5,323$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.25 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 3,947$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,207$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,157$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,353$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.03 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 1,346$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 51c | 1,077$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 864.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 19c | 309$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 50c | 298.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 258.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 257.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 196$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 194.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 19c | 144.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 93.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 50c | 69.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 36.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 51c | 33.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 51c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)76ers won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. 76ers76ers won
- Rockets vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Rockets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.