Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2878ab0c85245601676659adef3cb8b2f12f7bd88936e14f7a68ba3dd6424f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osakaof Osaka, Ruzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23c9…d4d5backed Ruzic | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Ruzic | 22c | 15,240$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Osaka | 78c | 14,835$11,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.67 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ruzic | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Ruzic | 19c | 10,000$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.86 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Osaka | 70c | 9,454$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osaka | 77c | 7,256$5,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ruzic | 22c | 5,000$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Ruzic | 24c | 4,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Osaka | 78c | 3,543$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.46 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Ruzic | 20c | 3,306$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.26 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Osaka | 78c | 3,132$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.04 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruzic | 18c | 2,807$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Osaka | 77c | 2,596$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Osaka | 79c | 2,401$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.45 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Ruzic | 24c | 2,304$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.25 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Osaka | 79c | 1,813$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Osaka | 77c | 1,646$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Osaka | 75c | 1,595$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ruzic | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Ruzic | 14c | 1,310$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Osaka | 71c | 1,075$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.78 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ruzic | 26c | 1,016$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruzic | 21c | 826.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Ruzic | 26c | 751.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ruzic | 21c | 711.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Osaka | 77c | 692.6$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Osaka | 76c | 692.46$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Ruzic | 20c | 690.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Ruzic | 8c | 581.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Ruzic | 24c | 581.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Ruzic | 19c | 519.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Osaka | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4d09backed Ruzic | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Ruzic | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruzic | 20c | 445.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Ruzic | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruzic | 18c | 403.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Ruzic | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Ruzic | 29c | 360.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Ruzic | 25c | 338$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Osaka | 35c | 286.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ruzic | 23c | 277.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Ruzic | 22c | 272.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ruzic | 21c | 272.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Osaka | 80c | 263.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Ruzic | 20c | 252.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Ruzic | 25c | 243.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Ruzic | 6c | 230.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Ruzic | 22c | 227.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Ruzic | 21c | 204.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Ruzic | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Ruzic | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Ruzic | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruzic | 10c | 198.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Osaka | 80c | 152.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Osaka | 77c | 148.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Ruzic | 14c | 143.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…b271backed Ruzic | 14c | 142.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Ruzic | 22c | 137.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Osaka | 59c | 135.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Osaka | 78c | 127.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Osaka | 75c | 126.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ruzic | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Osaka | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 75cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Osaka | 74c | 124.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Ruzic | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Ruzic | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…36adbacked Ruzic | 17c | 104.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Ruzic | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…9c89backed Ruzic | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Osaka | 78c | 97.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Ruzic | 22c | 91.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Ruzic | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Osaka | 79c | 84.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Ruzic | 19c | 76.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Ruzic | 18c | 75.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Ruzic | 23c | 73.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ruzic | 23c | 72.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Osaka | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Osaka | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruzic | 57c | 60.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Osaka | 61c | 50.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Osaka | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ruzic | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ruzic | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Osaka | 67c | 44.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Osaka | 80c | 44.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Osaka | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Osaka | 79c | 34.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Osaka | 78c | 33.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Osaka | 77c | 31.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Osaka | 80c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Osaka | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Osaka | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…bcf6backed Osaka | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…5288backed Osaka | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…9e9bbacked Osaka | 78c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…98f5backed Osaka | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicthis page
- Osaka vs. Ruzic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5)Ruzic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.