Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf096491a3c11463bf5e4ed63703d5ec49191853d1ec526319e2923a27c995f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 51c | 179,635$91,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,845.74 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 105,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 55,286$27,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,089.84 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 50,000$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,300 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 53c | 12,730$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.21 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 5,828$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 3,794$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.91 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Under | 52c | 984.64$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.01 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 634.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 49c | 527.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 376.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 292.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 249.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 53c | 134.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Under | 53c | 126.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 51c | 110.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 53c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 79.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 53c | 64.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 49c | 63.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Under | 52c | 56.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 47c | 50.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 31.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 50c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 53c | 19.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 166.5this page
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida OspreysNorth Florida Ospreys won
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-6.5)North Florida Ospreys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.