TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes27c21,613$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c9,505$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No69c7,000$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1803060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c4,615$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.9998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.983271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c2,351$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.891070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes32c1,900$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No68c1,749$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.758251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No68c1,605$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.611153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c1,559$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c1,346$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes33c1,345$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.995064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c745.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Yes33c742.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.646357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked Yes32c624.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No67c514.55$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.954557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes30c503.43$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes32c499.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c444$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes9c434.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes8c394.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0715259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes16c368.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6711772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes28c365.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.482763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes31c311.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes32c300.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No68c280$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8028458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a3…60a2backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes8c206.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ad…8c85backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes20c198.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No68c190$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.811550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes9c187.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.244847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.48148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c165$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.210252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…917fbacked Yes33c151.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090b…2f01backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes32c148.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.64535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes33c147.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5320741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8613366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes9c129$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c128$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…105fbacked Yes28c123.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.48550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No68c119.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3912754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes17c117.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4917529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314025%10 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdffe…8a55backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Yes17c96.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152520%5 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes31c87.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.063941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.717568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.