TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No66c4,309$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4656437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes34c2,949$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes34c2,943$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.666431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,831$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c2,808$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.0896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Yes34c2,618$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c2,235$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c2,082$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c1,546$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c1,500$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes41c1,081$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.983754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes34c1,015$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No67c828.42$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.383271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c641.32$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes43c558.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes7c508.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16019549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3a…e5d4backed No68c482.35$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed No58c460$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No68c457.35$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.356100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No67c424.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.241040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No67c422.87$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.55966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No72c416.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4988…5772backed No68c341.18$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c319.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.384445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No68c292.5$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc255…c3d8backed No68c279.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes19c267.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No68c263.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed No68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.295100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No68c227.94$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.945100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes44c224$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.565540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffe…8a55backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No68c187.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No79c185$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddf…814cbacked No68c182.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No67c176.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.43773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes25c174.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.118737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes34c170.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.932544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ae…035cbacked No68c169.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b56…b641backed Yes32c156.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes27c145.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed No63c143.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked No67c143.09$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes20c137.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…f54fbacked Yes32c128.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c122.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…653fbacked No68c115.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.348357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No66c100.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd148…1327backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes33c99.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.995632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed No67c85.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c80.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes34c64.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Yes33c59.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.592250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208456%47 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc30…2477backed Yes36c56.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes34c41.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes48c41.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed No67c40.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6b…8abebacked No68c38.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…bcaebacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed No60c36.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No67c36.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c33.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7541943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.