Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07405b8be1326fd35e6922f848dc488f7a7d6d795e479552b2f1855d78890693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 56c | 10,030$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.39 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…91d0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 5,942$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 4,606$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 37c | 4,084$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,424$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 3,319$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.69 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Yes | 37c | 3,310$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,632$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,626$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.09 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,570$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.57 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 1,413$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 55c | 1,050$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.19 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 37c | 1,048$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 22c | 972.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…91c6backed Yes | 35c | 961.71$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 846.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 79c | 785$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.15 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…9484backed No | 77c | 634.47$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 63c | 547$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 40c | 504.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Yes | 15c | 500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 3c | 499.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 46c | 479.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 4c | 476.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 468$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 37c | 441.07$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 27c | 435.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.66 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Yes | 6c | 381$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4fafbacked Yes | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 13c | 317.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 47c | 284.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 11c | 270.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked No | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 233.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 7c | 174.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 58c | 170.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 166.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 39c | 128.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…029bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 100.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 95.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 16c | 85.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 84.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 17c | 78.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 78c | 66.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 38c | 66.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…33d1backed No | 63c | 64.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 43c | 61.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…fe76backed Yes | 22c | 52.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 44.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 24c | 43.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed No | 51c | 31.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed No | 68c | 30.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Yes | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Yes | 75c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.