Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd844fdd47dddd3b793e057a1e8224bd9eec8b23d43784ee5570be7fbe4152002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 21c | 5,624$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 4,155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 2,215$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,004$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,796$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 1,699$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 1,408$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 30c | 1,197$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,085$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.92 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 49c | 945.9$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 658.95$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.65 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 31c | 652$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 624.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 27c | 581$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.95 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 509.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 439.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.08 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 77c | 374.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 317.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 303.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 302.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 17c | 279.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 80c | 249.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 244$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 65c | 153.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 19c | 112.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 83.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 61c | 83.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 82.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed No | 25c | 80.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 18c | 75.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 20c | 72.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 19c | 72.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed No | 45c | 68.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 68.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 50c | 66.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 66.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 61.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 71c | 51.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 48.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 58c | 48.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 43.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 58c | 43.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked No | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 32c | 36.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 51c | 22.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.