Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c9ff4aa5c7015eeb85e2ccda810dc8f0a29d6a490b7f0958fb2f6d6f46a4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked No | 29c | 5,995$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 2,972$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.72 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 35c | 2,703$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 2,565$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 2,222$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 1,739$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.29 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,510$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.27 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,401$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 1,350$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 68c | 1,082$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 897.72$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 59c | 833.66$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.52 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 79c | 788.95$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.87 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 761.6$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.57 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 688.29$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 676.77$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 33c | 606.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 34c | 586.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 574.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 53c | 560.28$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 65c | 460.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 58c | 354.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 330.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 33c | 324$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 292.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 37c | 239.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 225.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 179$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 153.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 59c | 153.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 33c | 121.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…aae0backed Yes | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 48c | 104.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 102.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 63c | 88.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 59c | 83.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 82.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 77.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 69.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 34c | 66.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 40c | 65.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 36c | 58.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 24c | 56.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Yes | 64c | 54.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 56c | 53.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 45c | 51.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 50.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 47.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 53c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 43.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed No | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 64c | 37.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Yes | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…637abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 65c | 31.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…029bbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes | 52c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 76c | 17.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.