South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5faef406262fe214a9ede859ab675d3a19a0f28586a72ee322e7ad0a629f069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 61c | 2,377$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 2,029$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,593$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.92 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 850.15$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 771.44$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 44c | 656.24$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 41c | 528$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 373.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 45c | 286.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 47c | 227$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 215.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 54c | 178.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Yes | 49c | 159.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 43c | 150.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 51c | 149.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 112.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 89.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 79c | 89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 55c | 86.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 84.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 51.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…cb45backed Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 48.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5596…7e3fbacked Yes | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…0fe7backed Yes | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 45c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…7677backed Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 55c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a42…8321backed Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…1c7fbacked Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Yes | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…652fbacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…c9c3backed Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…a395backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.