NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45378fd7adc7ebc024e63aa327c35d1087490479566d0e1714dc54eaf82a33cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 22,732$10,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,783.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 50c | 18,768$9,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,383.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over | 46c | 6,827$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.22 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 4,500$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.76 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Under | 53c | 3,886$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.31 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Under | 50c | 3,880$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.92 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 1,755$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,462$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 684$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 525.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.87 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 446.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed Under | 56c | 429.59$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 427$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 397.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…2156backed Over | 50c | 333.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 119$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 99.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Over | 65c | 67.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 147 | 64.6%95 W · 52 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 57.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 47c | 36.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Under | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5this page
- Magic vs. 76ersMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.