NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59441e38055b0d71c650d8409f152ff376eeea5955722febe96452413f0e5980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 58c | 21,424$12,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,102.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 44c | 18,171$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed 76ers | 42c | 8,250$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 50c | 4,937$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed 76ers | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed 76ers | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Magic | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Magic | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 62c | 4,038$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.03 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…d024backed 76ers | 48c | 2,500$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed 76ers | 50c | 2,443$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 42c | 2,120$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 61c | 2,032$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…1f2ebacked 76ers | 47c | 1,941$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…b50cbacked Magic | 54c | 1,601$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Magic | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8445…832ebacked 76ers | 49c | 1,148$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 38c | 1,085$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 56c | 1,049$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 50c | 1,009$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 41c | 967.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 44c | 861.25$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 76ers | 3c | 835$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked 76ers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed 76ers | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Magic | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed 76ers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Magic | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Magic | 53c | 374.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 54c | 348$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 52c | 268.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed 76ers | 50c | 248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 41c | 243.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Magic | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Magic | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed 76ers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Magic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers | 40c | 184.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Magic | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed 76ers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed 76ers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…0706backed Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed 76ers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Magic | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Magic | 61c | 97.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Magic | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed 76ers | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 51c | 75.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked 76ers | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed 76ers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Magic | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed 76ers | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…23c0backed Magic | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Magic | 54c | 31.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Magic | 62c | 28.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…d314backed Magic | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Magic | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)this page
- Magic vs. 76ersMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.