TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,810 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c19,091$8,924 inWon+$10,167.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c18,628$9,886 inLost-$9,885.981,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost-$3,36066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over44c5,987$2,634 inWon+$3,352.7325845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over43c3,500$1,505 inWon+$1,9952152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1d…1e31backed Under57c3,500$1,995 inLost-$1,9951947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…c39bbacked Over43c2,700$1,161 inWon+$1,5391844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Under57c2,700$1,539 inLost-$1,5392462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Under1c2,447$13 inLost-$13.254573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under9c1,634$147 inLost-$147.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost-$5407342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over44c759.99$331 inWon+$428.594650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over44c681.82$300 inWon+$381.828247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under54c625$338 inLost-$337.554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over43c500$215 inWon+$28525642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c447$250 inLost-$250.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d3…45c3backed Under57c436.72$249 inLost-$248.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Over44c431.82$190 inWon+$241.823537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under54c340.11$183 inLost-$183.282,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Under57c300$171 inLost-$1714148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over47c180.05$85 inWon+$95.4395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under58c130$75 inLost-$75.454951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c122$56 inWon+$66.282,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon+$61.1193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c100$53 inLost-$534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c30$14 inWon+$16.21,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e4…b6adbacked Under58c22.4$13 inLost-$12.993268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.