NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf839544e371866372e4168e90e42b7d95e74f2e6460d3be19b768a5302e306e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,205$6,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,157.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Under | 49c | 5,866$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8445…832ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 3,609$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.62 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Under | 50c | 3,140$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 52c | 1,147$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.28 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 538.86$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a1…0d1bbacked Under | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…a80fbacked Under | 49c | 405$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…8bbabacked Under | 50c | 378$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…29a9backed Under | 50c | 372$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…dfb3backed Under | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…3e32backed Under | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…be23backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 239$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Over | 50c | 173.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…4df7backed Over | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 54cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 116.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 50c | 58.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 228.5this page
- Knicks vs. NetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Nets won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.