NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fcbfecebce96ca7a35088d367ff70adce2995cde40705321a3750f3e6e0ca1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Knicks, Nets
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3d6…34e3backed Knicks	43c	24,438$10,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,572.06	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets	57c	19,072$10,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,258.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets	57c	3,398$1,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470.51	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Knicks	44c	2,122$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.74	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b8…e3dabacked Knicks	43c	1,900$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…7e7fbacked Nets	57c	1,900$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks	47c	1,772$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.56	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	53c	1,763$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.34	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets	57c	1,421$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.69	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets	57c	921$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.03	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets	56c	500$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.33	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Knicks	43c	469.98$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.09	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets	57c	457$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.51	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1d…3de0backed Nets	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets	57c	335.18$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.13	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nets	57c	160$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.8	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Nets	57c	99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Nets	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	133	58.6%78 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Nets	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	204	44.6%91 W · 113 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Nets	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Nets	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Nets	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Knicks	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Nets	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event