NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be95c096542e4709e4deabe41ae589ffdab84503b19f16ad81eb8db8d1122ff

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5d18…4972backed Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	3,353$1,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over	49c	3,333$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.17	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059e…4a2ebacked Under	52c	3,029$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.84	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under	52c	1,400$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672	605	49.8%301 W · 304 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over	48c	1,400$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under	51c	1,373$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.55	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under	51c	1,351$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.98	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Under	52c	467.31$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.31	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8244…11f4backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Under	52c	376.9$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.47	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	48c	302$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.96	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	49c	257.75$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.3	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	49c	250$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	49c	246$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.64	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	49c	111$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Under	52c	99.77$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under	51c	96.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	49c	96$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	49c	61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	48c	58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Under	52c	57.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.89	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under	54c	55.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-6.6wins	-0.24per pick	63cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	49c	49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	49c	49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	47c	33.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over	50c	27.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	49c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	49c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	49c	26.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	273	53.8%147 W · 126 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	251	50.2%126 W · 125 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…1ddcbacked Over	49c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event