NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc29f2551398473ca839e144818d66efa5f57b8d289cc8a8827afca0be3360db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Knicks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 46c | 37,222$17,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,122.12 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 53c | 2,123$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Nets | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Knicks | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Nets | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 46c | 1,552$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,055$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Knicks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Knicks | 46c | 619.57$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Nets | 48c | 582.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Knicks | 46c | 367.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 334$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Knicks | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 53c | 308.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 46c | 287$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 51c | 222.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Knicks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Nets | 55c | 181.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…bee3backed Knicks | 52c | 174$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…0611backed Nets | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…d8edbacked Nets | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Knicks | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 48c | 148.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…1985backed Nets | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…d571backed Knicks | 52c | 129$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49e…ff4abacked Knicks | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…dd06backed Nets | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Knicks | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Nets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Nets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Knicks | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…4f62backed Nets | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 44c | 68.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Knicks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Knicks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Knicks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…ce94backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)this page
- Knicks vs. NetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Nets won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.