NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc0323d8c7076b8730d621c780081ff9310e9425f4cd4194fed8e5dfc635dd4f

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,432 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	10,360$5,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,166.15	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Under	51c	9,714$4,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,757.72	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+6.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over	50c	4,500$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over	49c	3,920$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920.8	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over	51c	2,253$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.06	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	49c	1,100$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	50c	504$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	53c	406$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.92	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	46c	290$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.6	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	50c	184$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over	52c	145$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.4	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	51c	137.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	111$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.72	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	47c	105.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Under	52c	98.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	244	46.7%114 W · 130 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event