NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 227.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541329031f4deecb35d1219f1862cd065eade6d495a73f8e8a48096dd395bf3a

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,917 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec13…862bbacked Over	45c	3,333$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.85	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	55c	2,474$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.47	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over	50c	603$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.5	577	60.5%349 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under	50c	603$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.5	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under	52c	591$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.68	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	46c	542.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.66	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over	48c	540.59$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.48	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	47c	528.66$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.47	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	55c	437$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.65	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under	55c	408.51$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.83	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	270$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.5	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under	52c	188.6$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	26c	135.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…fa14backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…6bffbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under	56c	95.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.61	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	54c	90.61$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.68	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under	52c	60.3$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.94	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over	45c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ead…16d3backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	45c	48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	174	44.3%77 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	52c	31.25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 227.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event