NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58ca98bb49dea702066b02701a4d96090a2dc8c2703382b2090563e9e75c8f0

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: 76ersof 76ers, Nets
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,357 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe1ec…55ebbacked Nets	48c	15,800$7,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,584	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…9041backed 76ers	52c	15,800$8,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,584	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Nets	47c	14,115$6,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,634.05	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe7…7e7fbacked 76ers	53c	14,100$7,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,627	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ced…0938backed Nets	51c	9,699$4,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,960	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers	48c	6,286$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,285.83	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	47c	5,450$2,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,888.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers	52c	3,359$1,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598.19	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers	49c	3,005$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.6	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Nets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed 76ers	52c	1,479$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.89	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets	53c	1,124$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.94	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed 76ers	48c	894.21$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.99	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ddf…b93abacked 76ers	53c	770$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde82…dedcbacked Nets	46c	769.97$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.19	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers	49c	696.48$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.37	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nets	50c	605$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.6	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers	52c	600$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers	50c	591.82$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.57	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed 76ers	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers	53c	448.22$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.39	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked 76ers	54c	424.06$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.66	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed 76ers	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers	52c	388.56$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.96	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers	55c	365.45$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.45	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d8…1552backed Nets	48c	312.58$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.12	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nets	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed 76ers	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked 76ers	52c	299.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed 76ers	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed 76ers	52c	249.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c1…3ff6backed 76ers	54c	236$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.56	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets	48c	214$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.23	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nets	47c	197.85$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.34	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets	47c	195.59$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.93	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nets	53c	195$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.35	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed 76ers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers	48c	188.03$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.25	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed 76ers	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers	51c	177.62$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.69	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe2…d4e7backed 76ers	54c	170$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22e4…0342backed Nets	47c	156$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers	51c	149.15$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed 76ers	50c	132$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff3a…a100backed Nets	47c	129$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69df…f520backed Nets	47c	121$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Nets	48c	109.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	145	49%71 W · 74 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers	48c	109$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.68	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Nets	52c	108.92$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…7bb9backed Nets	48c	105$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.36per pick	47cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Nets	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed 76ers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	185	58.4%108 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed 76ers	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Nets	48c	99.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked 76ers	52c	95.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.28	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed 76ers	54c	91.18$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.94	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	58cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers	52c	88.9$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.53	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nets	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked 76ers	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed 76ers	54c	71.87$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets	47c	66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked 76ers	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers	51c	56.27$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.57	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed 76ers	54c	51.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Nets	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 76ers	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fc…1c3cbacked 76ers	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Nets	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets	48c	48.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fee…7adabacked Nets	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed 76ers	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	345	56.2%194 W · 151 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Nets	50c	46.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Nets	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Nets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed 76ers	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked 76ers	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe318…3506backed 76ers	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked 76ers	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed 76ers	54c	27.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed 76ers	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef44…86a5backed 76ers	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Nets	48c	20.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked 76ers	51c	20.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.99	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event