NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48732a8c71f58bd24f4c5d9206a2994df68439fe43070b1caf0714f13da3d974

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under	50c	2,100$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd856…f1f6backed Over	50c	2,100$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Over	51c	1,569$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,554$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8445…832ebacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Under	50c	794$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Over	51c	635.06$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.88	166	50%83 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Over	50c	479.65$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	255	54.1%138 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	434.19$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.29	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Over	3c	420$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	40c	362.9$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.16	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Under	60c	362.9$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4fa…23a9backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	57.4%54 W · 40 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdc…6d51backed Over	51c	118.63$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.35	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	49c	112.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.86	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	244	46.7%114 W · 130 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	157	59.9%94 W · 63 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da6…53edbacked Over	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.26	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under	50c	51.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x254f…2fb8backed Over	50c	51.6$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+5.6wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55d0…17abbacked Over	51c	44.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…fb23backed Over	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a6…3cd9backed Over	50c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1c…2be4backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…91c0backed Over	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d21cbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3303…9266backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43af…da96backed Over	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	49c	26.82$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Under	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	597	43.6%260 W · 337 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bb…23b3backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…48b7backed Over	50c	23.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event