NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78396958e8e9fe92a8d08832dfbee4072e593dfbdb8f4d139aa138d22301d51d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under	52c	26,578$13,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,633.83	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	22,920$10,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,896.89	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe971…350cbacked Over	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	48c	1,140$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Over	47c	963.83$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	52c	270.3$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.74	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over	48c	210$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	237	48.1%114 W · 123 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over	53c	192.45$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	48c	188$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	47c	175.11$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.95	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	48c	172.3$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.91	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	123.62$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	47c	111$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.17	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6edb…6089backed Over	48c	106.25$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	531	41.8%222 W · 309 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	46c	84.46$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e62…06f9backed Over	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	56.4$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ed…a988backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3a…8297backed Under	54c	25.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over	46c	25.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Over	56c	22.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed Over	48c	22.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdc…6d51backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event